Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000699 0.000794 0.000894 0.001007 0.001131 0.001264 0.001415
2025-10-12 0.000559 0.000691 0.000841 0.001021 0.001231 0.001467 0.001750
2025-10-19 0.000471 0.000619 0.000794 0.001013 0.001278 0.001587 0.001970
2025-10-26 0.000402 0.000558 0.000750 0.000999 0.001311 0.001684 0.002160
2025-11-02 0.000358 0.000521 0.000729 0.001008 0.001366 0.001806 0.002379
2025-11-09 0.000319 0.000486 0.000706 0.001009 0.001409 0.001910 0.002576
2025-11-16 0.000274 0.000438 0.000661 0.000977 0.001404 0.001951 0.002693
2025-11-23 0.000239 0.000399 0.000624 0.000951 0.001405 0.001997 0.002814
2025-11-30 0.000215 0.000374 0.000604 0.000947 0.001433 0.002077 0.002980
2025-12-07 0.000195 0.000353 0.000588 0.000947 0.001464 0.002162 0.003153
2025-12-14 0.000175 0.000329 0.000566 0.000936 0.001480 0.002225 0.003297
2025-12-21 0.000156 0.000306 0.000543 0.000921 0.001487 0.002276 0.003425
2025-12-28 0.000148 0.000301 0.000547 0.000949 0.001558 0.002416 0.003681
2026-01-04 0.000139 0.000292 0.000545 0.000966 0.001613 0.002537 0.003912
2026-01-11 0.000125 0.000275 0.000528 0.000957 0.001630 0.002602 0.004066
2026-01-18 0.000112 0.000257 0.000509 0.000944 0.001638 0.002655 0.004203
2026-01-25 0.000105 0.000248 0.000503 0.000952 0.001679 0.002756 0.004410
2026-02-01 0.000096 0.000237 0.000493 0.000954 0.001708 0.002839 0.004594
2026-02-08 0.000084 0.000216 0.000466 0.000923 0.001685 0.002844 0.004661
2026-02-15 0.000074 0.000199 0.000443 0.000898 0.001671 0.002861 0.004747
2026-02-22 0.000068 0.000190 0.000432 0.000894 0.001690 0.002928 0.004907
2026-03-01 0.000062 0.000181 0.000423 0.000894 0.001714 0.003003 0.005081
2026-03-08 0.000056 0.000171 0.000410 0.000884 0.001722 0.003052 0.005216